Monday, September 8, 2008

Still Up 4...

yeah we are playing like shit right now but...

We are still up 4 in the wild card and only 4 back of the Scrubs with 19 games left to be played.

Our magic number for the wild card is 16.

So if the Phillies lose one game (on average) of their remaining 6 series, the Brewers need to win 10 games.

That's 10-9 over the last 19. Two out of three from the Reds at home, split with Phillies in Philly, 1 out of 3 in Wrigley, 1 out of 3 in cincy, 2 out of 3 vs Pirates, and 2 out of 3 from Scrubs at Miller Park after they've clinched the division will win the wild card.

We've got at least 8 more starts with CC and Sheets, assuming they each lose a start, the rest of the starters need 4 wins out of 11 chances.

Just keep trucking along and show up in Philly this weekend and we'll be all right.

9 comments:

EMoney said...

Has our lineup hit the perverbial wall? It's going on the middle of september and we can hardly scratch a run on the board, averaging 2.3 rpg over 7 games thus far in september. I will say that in spite of our "slide" of late, we are looking better with each passing day. Things have the potential to look a whole lot better if we can take care of business in Cincinnati. One series at a time from here on out.

Rubie Q said...

We're looking better with each passing day?

We just lost two of four to the fucking Padres, who were trotting out AAA players for most of the series. We need to sweep the Reds (which ain't going to happen, by the by) to salvage a 5-5 record on the most important homestand of the season. That's fucking embarrassing.

Softball's Tony Gwynn said...

I think what he meant was our positioning for the wild card is looking better each day. 4 games up with 19 to go...a few days ago it was 4 games up with 22 to go. hopefully by this time next week its 4 games up with 12 to go.

Rubie Q said...

Oh. I see. Have to disagree with that point, too. We should have built ourselves a nice little cushion here -- at the least, we should be six games up.

Instead, we pissed away a bunch of winnable games and eliminated our margin for error. We have to play great ball against some really good teams from here on out, or we're fucked.

Softball's Tony Gwynn said...

i understand your frustration and obviously if they keep play like this the rest of the season we are screwed. my/our point is despite playing such pitiful baseball this past week we managed to maintain our wild card lead and pick up a few games on the division leader. all and all in the big picture it wasn't a horrible week.

EMoney said...
This comment has been removed by a blog administrator.
Devil's Threesome said...

10 of our remaining 19 games are against Philly and Chicago, with 7 of those 10 on the road. We could have sewn up the WC with this homestand, yet we haven't. The offense is in shambles. Going 10-9 is never easy, that's ahead of our overall performance in 2007 and we are facing some daunting opponents. We'll see, but I'm worried.

Can we agree on one thing though? Let's kick the shit out of Edinson Volquez tonight. Because of the rain, I'll be at the game!

EMoney said...

I predict that if we go 10-9, we will at least clinch the wild card. If we win 10, Philly would have to go 14-5 (if they have 19 left, I'm just assuming here). If we split with them, that means they would have to go 12-3 the rest of the way. I don't care who you are, that is tough to do....especially under pressure. I'm not happy with the way we are playing, but I'm happy to be where we are and not where the Phils are. The odds are with us at this point, and getting better with each passing day that we win or they lose. Ol' Ned might actually save his job this year....weird.

Rubie Q said...

D's 3S said what I was trying to. If we played semi-coherent baseball over the last week, we could have afforded a slip against the Phils and Cubs. Now we've backed ourselves into a corner.

I agree that we need to kick the shit out of Edinson Volquez, but I doubt it'll happen, not after the way Chris Fucking Young manhandled us yesterday. Anybody NOT want to swing at the first pitch? Maybe we could make him throw more than 7 pitches an inning, eh, boys?