Last Week’s Results: 6-14
Reaction: Well, that was grisly, good thing I’m not a gambling man. The title of this post should be reconsidered if I have another week like that. So, here it goes for week 2 of D3’s picks.
5 Ole Miss (-3.5) @ South Carolina
Ole Miss hasn’t played anyone yet – beating up on Memphis & Southeastern Louisiana. Which South Carolina team with show up? The one that scored 7 points against NC State or the one that exploded for 37 at Georgia. This has trap game written all over it for Ole Miss, but I’m going to stick with the Rebels. Their collapse will happen, trust me, but not this week.
1 Florida (-21.5) @ Kentucky
Florida has been hit by the flu and Urban Meyer continues to engage Lane Kiffin in their pillow fight of words. Florida is thin at receiver and doesn’t have a go-to running back. The UF defense will have to bring it in a big way to cover, but I wasn’t impressed with their inability to stop UT’s run game last week, particularly since they knew the Catfish wasn’t going to throw downfield.
UTEP @ 2 Texas (-36)
36 is a ton of points for a team that sputtered last week against a suspect Texas Tech defense.
Arkansas @ 3 Alabama (-17.5)
17 is a ton of points for this game. Never underestimate Nick Saban’s ability to clam up offensively in a close game. Bama will win, but Ryan Mallet will do enough to keep this close.
Iowa @ 5 Penn St (-9.5)
A night game in Happy Valley, white out crowd and the opponent has no viable running game? Yikes. Iowa has done a good job of masking their poor offense the last two weeks, but Penn St is an entirely new level compared to Iowa St & Arizona.
6 California (-5.5) @ Oregon
I don’t believe in Oregon at all. Sure, they’ve beaten Utah and Purdue the last two weeks, but Jeremiah Masoli went 4-16 last week. Jahvid Best continues his guerilla Heisman campaign. Watch this game instead of the Illinois-Ohio St rock fight on at the same time.
7 LSU (-13) @ Mississippi St
Outside of Ole Miss, LSU may be the most overrated team in the country. Mississippi St averaged 4.5 yards/pass last week at Vanderbilt. LSU will cover, even if it’s 14-0.
8 Boise St (-17) @ Bowling Green
Lots of waffling on this one. Bowling Green’s offense is nothing special (10 points at Marshall), but Boise lost one of the running backs for the season and are making the cross-country trip.
9 Miami (FL) (-2.5) @ 11 Virginia Tech
My lead pipe cinch of the week. Miami’s D isn’t vintage, but VT’s offense is beyond putrid. Miami by 2 scores. I’m not quite drinking the Cane Kool-Aid, this is more of an anti-VT pick. Fuckers.
Washington St @ 12 USC (-46.5)
46.5 points? Holy motherfuck! USC will be starting a gimpy freshman or a sophomore who threw for 110 yards last week. That’s a ton of confidence in the Trojans that I don’t have. USC doesn’t care enough to annihilate WSU by 47 points.
Illinois @ 13 Ohio St (-14)
Illinois got the win the C-bus two years ago. Ohio St’s D is too good, but one never knows what the Zookster has up his sleeve.
Fresno St @ 14 Cincinnati (-16.5)
I think Cincinnati is really good, but they’ll be a bit high on themselves with all the media stroking after beating Oregon St last week. People are talking about an undefeated season. Pat Hill’s teams live for this shit. Fresno won’t win, but they’ll keep it close enough.
15 TCU @ Clemson (-2.5)
Clemson struggled to put away Boston College last week. Lest you didn’t hear, BC averaged under 1 yard a play. Therefore, I have to go with TCU. This is their biggest game of the year, so they’ll bring it to Death Valley.
Texas Tech @ 17 Houston (-1)
My favorite game of the day. Tech looked pretty decent against Texas last week. When in doubt, go with the more experienced QB. Case Keenum, for UH, is better and older.
South Florida @ 18 Florida St (-14.5)
My lead pipe cinch #2 on the week. I may have taken FSU at -14.5 before USF’s Matt Grothe went out for the year. For those thinking that FSU will let down, USF has talked some trash about this game over the past couple of years.
Colorado St @ 19 BYU (-16.5)
CSU is still, somehow, undefeated. That will end on Saturday. I’m interested to see if BYU can bounce back from the massive egg laying against Florida St.
Southern Miss @ 20 Kansas (-13.5)
The Kansas football team is going all Jets vs. Sharks on the Kansas basketball team. They even broke Tyshawn “Judas” Taylor’s thumb. That’s not a good distraction to have when you have a good, and historically pesky, USM team coming to town. KU wins, but close.
Arizona St @ 21 Georgia (-12)
Wow, this was an ABC primetime game last year and now it’s on ESPNU. Georgia’s gauntlet continues and they’ll cover with their newfound offense.
22 North Carolina @ Georgia Tech (-2.5)
I’m fucking done with GT after last week’s horrific performance against Miami. I was skeptical of them last year and I am newly skeptical this year. UNC saw all their option shit last year. Butch Davis scheme em up and get in the win in Atlanta.
Indiana @ 23 Michigan (-21)
Can someone fucking tell me why this game is on ESPN2 as national coverage? Two words for this game: Not Competitive.
24 Washington @ Stanford (-7)
Wow, UW beats USC and then is a 7 point dog on the road to Stanford? I was thinking of picking a Stanford upset special, but I’ll stick with the Huskies. Jake Locker is a stud.
UL-Lafayette @ 25 Nebraska (27.5)
As covered in the Red Recap, Huskers 38-13, so I have to stick with UL-L.